RECOGNIZING UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRANSPORTATION PLANNING PROCESS
"It's tough to tell the future." So begins a report distributed by Florida DOT as background for the 2020 Florida Transportation Plan. It goes on to note that, "Analyzing historical and current trends to forecast conditions 20 or more years into the future has been compared to throwing darts at a moving board under a strobe light. The dynamic nature of social, economic, and political activities in the U.S. and Florida creates too many uncertainties for foolproof forecasting." In spite of the recognition of uncertainty by some, our methods and practices largely ignore its implications in the planning of our future transportation facilities.
Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE)Washington, DC United States
- Mierzejewski, E A
- 1995 Compendium of Technical Papers. Institute of Transportation Engineers 65th Annual Meeting.
- Location: Denver, CO
- Date: 1995-8-5 to 1995-8-8
- Publication Date: 1995-8
- Pagination: p. 343-347
- TRT Terms: Forecasting; Transportation planning; Trend (Statistics); Uncertainty
- Geographic Terms: Florida
- Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;
- Accession Number: 00712637
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Oct 26 1995 12:00AM