RECOGNIZING UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRANSPORTATION PLANNING PROCESS

"It's tough to tell the future." So begins a report distributed by Florida DOT as background for the 2020 Florida Transportation Plan. It goes on to note that, "Analyzing historical and current trends to forecast conditions 20 or more years into the future has been compared to throwing darts at a moving board under a strobe light. The dynamic nature of social, economic, and political activities in the U.S. and Florida creates too many uncertainties for foolproof forecasting." In spite of the recognition of uncertainty by some, our methods and practices largely ignore its implications in the planning of our future transportation facilities.

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Pagination: p. 343-347

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00712637
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Oct 26 1995 12:00AM