DEVELOPMENT OF MODELS FOR PREDICTING WEEKEND RECREATIONAL TRAFFIC
The model developed relies heavily on data and concepts utilized by recreation analysts, merged with new data and techniques to calculate traffic demands by highway link and time of day. The model, which incorporates a portion of the Urban Planning Battery, has not been completely validated, although initial results strongly suggest it is capable of providing a more systematic picture of recreational traffic than previously available, including where, when and why peak demands are likely to occur. Data collected from two weekends indicate that 3-day weekends apparently produce prportionally fewer recreational tips than 2-day weekends, and the trips tend to be of a different nature, with more overnight trips but less 1-day or shorter trips on 3-day weekends. Recreational traffic demands are influenced largely by preferences for times of departure from and return to home. As a result, recreational traffic demands peak near urban fringes on Friday late afternoons, coincident with the weekday commuter peak, and on Sunday evenings. Traffic demands near recreational sites display less peaking and depend primarily on the travel times to the major population centers. When fully implemented the model should be a significant tool for highway planners to determine highway service needs along recreational corridors and at urban fringes.
- Prepared for TRB-NCHRP. Final Report is in 2 volumes.
Midwest Research Institute425 Volker Boulevard
Kansas City, MO United States 64110-2299
- Publication Date: 1976-7-21
- Features: Appendices; Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: 158 p.
- TRT Terms: Forecasting; Highway planning; Mathematical models; Peak hour traffic; Recreation; Time; Travel demand; Travel time; Urban areas; Weekends
- Uncontrolled Terms: Models
- Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management;
- Accession Number: 00141247
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: Final Rpt.
- Contract Numbers: HR 7-9
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Oct 26 1977 12:00AM