LESSONS LEARNED FROM MISSED PREDICTIONS

This paper is the 29th Terzaghi Lecture, a series honoring Dr. Karl Terzaghi, founder of modern soil mechanics and foundation engineering. The author focuses on the broad factors involved in the prediction process that affect the quality of predictions of the geotechnical performance of completed structures. The critical factors are discussed and examples are provided that illustrate performance that deviated from prediction. Probable causes for the deviations are addressed as well. The author emphasizes the importance of judgment and intuition in the development of geotechnical predictions.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/07339410
• Corporate Authors:

  American Society of Civil Engineers

  345 East 47th Street
  New York, NY  United States  10017-2398
• Authors:
  • Focht Jr, J A
• Publication Date: 1994-10

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Appendices; Figures; References;
• Pagination: p. 1651-83
• Serial:
  • Journal of Geotechnical Engineering
  • Volume: 120
  • Issue Number: 10
  • Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
  • ISSN: 0733-9410

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Forecasting; Geotechnical engineering; Judgment (Human characteristics); Knowledge; Lectures; Performance; Structures
• Uncontrolled Terms: Experience; Performance prediction
• Subject Areas: Bridges and other structures; Geotechnology; Highways; I42: Soil Mechanics;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00667492
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Oct 18 1994 12:00AM