A MODEL FOR FORECASTING PUBLIC TRANSIT

This study develops a model that explains public transit ridership in Orange County, California over quarterly periods during the 1974-1988 period. The model uses a Cobb-Douglas functional form and a Cochrane-Orcutt iterative procedure to measure the association between public transit ridership and the potential number of users, relative level of public transit service, relative price of public transit, seasonality, and external shocks. The model is used to prepare conditional quarterly forecasts for ridership in 1988 and unconditional quarterly forecasts during the 1989-1993 period.

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  • Corporate Authors:

    Pergamon Press, Incorporated

    Headington Hill Hall
    Oxford OX30BW,    
  • Authors:
    • Doti, J
    • Adibi, E
  • Publication Date: 1991-11

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00618541
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jan 31 1992 12:00AM