A 6-month (Phase-I) planning study was undertaken as the first step in a possible long-term, three-phase study. The overall study objectives are identification of groups of drivers at high risk to alcohol-related )A/R) crashes, development of predictive techniques for assigning risk factors to individuals within the groups, validation of the predictive techniques, and identification of countermeasures expected to reduce crash risks among identified drivers. Phase-I objectives included identification of potential high-risk groups and the development of plans for their study. Relevant literature was reviewed and data from selected in-house files were analyzed. No variables were found that unequivocally identify drivers at high risk to A/R crashes, and such drivers were found to be widely distributed. However, several variables consistently correlated with A/R crashes were found. The low incidence of A/R crashees among the general driving population was shown to create a significant identification problem that will result in a high false-positive rate among those predicted to have an A/R crash. Countermeasure programs directed to target groups known to contain a large number of false positives will necessarily be of limited scope. A carefully conceived and executed research program was recommended for the following target groups: A/R crashees; DWIs; blue-collar workers with high absenteeism rates; insured; and divorcing persons. /HSRI/

  • Corporate Authors:

    Highway Safety Research Institute

    Huron Parkway and Baxter Road
    Ann Arbor, MI  United States  48109
  • Authors:
    • Filkins, L D
    • Compton, C P
    • Douglass, R L
    • Flora, J D
  • Publication Date: 1974-12

Media Info

  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: 113 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00096246
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Highway Safety Research Institute
  • Report/Paper Numbers: OM-HSRI-AL-74-8 Final Rpt.
  • Contract Numbers: DOT-HS-4-00990
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jul 15 1975 12:00AM