The workshop on airline aircraft manufacture developed a 15-year forecast (1989-2003) of aircraft deliveries for the commercial jet transport market. Traffic growth and load factor projections as well as a forecast of retirement of existing aircraft from the world's passenger fleet were part of this forecast. The Panel used a rating system to develop a consensus on the issues considered the most difficult to forecast and those that would have the most significant impact in the forecast period. Panel members submitted their forecasts in advance and the results were analyzed during the workshop meeting to develop the consensus forecast.

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    • This paper appears in Transportation Research Circular No. 352, Future Aviation Activities: Sixth International Workshop, Washington, D.C., September 13-15, 1989. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
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    Transportation Research Board

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  • Authors:
    • Walsh, J F
  • Publication Date: 1990-2

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  • Media Type: Digital/other
  • Features: Tables;
  • Pagination: p. 30-33
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  • Accession Number: 00496786
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Aug 31 1990 12:00AM