OIL PRICES, ECONOMIC SCENARIOS AND FUTURE CAR OWNERSHIP. TRANSPORTATION PLANNING RESEARCH COLLOQUIUM 1987, EIGHT MILLION CARS IN 2010, THE HAGUE, NOVEMBER 26-27, 1987

OLIEPRIJZEN, ECONOMISCHE SCENARIO'S EN TOEKOMSTIG AUTOBEZIT

The next decades' car ownership may show a strong increase, which is partly caused by an assumed growth of real national personal income. This increase depends on the assumptions which have been made in relation to economic variables such as the oil price development. Since the composition of the scenarios which describe this increase the oil price has fallen more than anticipated. As low oil prices correspond to relatively low variable car costs, this may lead to higher car ownership and car use. In the long term, especially with a high economic growth, a strong increase in oil prices is expected, as a result of which car use may decrease sharply. For the covering abstract of the conference see IRRD 811092. (TRRL)

• Corporate Authors:

  Colloguium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk

  P.O. Box 45
  Delft,   Netherlands 
• Authors:
  • Smit, J G
• Publication Date: 1987

Language

• Dutch

Media Info

• Features: References;
• Pagination: p. 301-314
• Serial:
  • Publication of: Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk
  • Publisher: Colloguium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobile ownership; Automobile travel; Conferences; Economics; Forecasting; Fuels; Income; Prices; Urban growth
• Uncontrolled Terms: Fuel prices
• Geographic Terms: Netherlands
• ITRD Terms: 8525: Conference; 224: Cost; 9009: Decrease; 132: Forecast; 3850: Fuel; 265: Growth rate; 256: Income; 9110: Long term; 8078: Netherlands; 9084: Use; 315: Vehicle ownership
• Subject Areas: Economics; Energy; Highways; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00475776
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Institute for Road Safety Research, SWOV
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Aug 31 1988 12:00AM