In terms of travel, 1990 is expected to look a great deal like 1980. During the eighties the demand for travel may be expected to grow at a rate faster than population but slower than households. A majority of households will be composed of a single person--often elderly--living alone, unmarried individuals, or married couples without children. The rate of travel growth will be slower than that observed over the past 20 years. The largest growth in the number of trips will occur in central cities, paralleling the growth in households. Travel by transit, as a proportion of total travel, is likely to remain roughly constant as the number of central city households grows. The result will be a significant absolute increase in the number of transit trips. Unless there is a substantial redistribution of transit travel from peak to off-peak times, this added demand will continue the trend of growing transit deficits. Vehicle miles of travel will increase about 20 percent in total, but, due to the differential in central city and suburban rates per household of vehicle miles of travel, the distribution of vehicle miles of travel by area will be similar to that of 1980.

  • Supplemental Notes:
    • Published in Urban Transportation Perspectives and Prospects.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Newcastle University, Australia

    Department of Community Programmes
    Newcastle, New South Wales 2308,   Australia 

    Eno Transportation Foundation

    P.O. Box 2055, Saugatuck Station
    Westport, CT  United States  06880-0055
  • Publication Date: 1982

Media Info

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00399723
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: HS-037 987
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Oct 31 1985 12:00AM