WORKSHOP ON LONG-RANGE AND STRATEGIC FORECASTING TECHNIQUES. LONG-RANGE STRATEGIC PLANNING AND FORECASTING TECHNIQUES: THE STATE OF THE ART

This paper discusses methods and techniques for long-range strategic planning and forecasting which are at the frontier of current knowledge and will give clues as to the direction in which transportation planning will proceed in the future. Individual techniques are identified as estimation of financial resources, freight modal study, highway pavement maintenance, published master plans and performance monitoring. After examining the state-of-the-art examples, certain qualities were identified as indicating the direction of future techniques: (1) Repetitive computer operation; (2) internal comprehensiveness; (3) external linkages; (4) process orientation; (5) data base expansion; (6) retroactive checking. Success, usefulness and innovation will occur whenever there is a transportation agency that has the wit to nurture technique and the strength to submerge technique as a utilitarian part of a dynamic program.

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    • Proceedings of a conference held October 3-7, 1982, Easton, Maryland. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Transportation Research Board

    500 Fifth Street, NW
    Washington, DC  United States  20001
  • Authors:
    • Creighton, Roger L
  • Conference:
  • Publication Date: 1983

Media Info

  • Media Type: Digital/other
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 140-144
  • Monograph Title: TRAVEL ANALYSIS METHODS FOR THE 1980S
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    Open Access (libre)

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00390214
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
  • Created Date: Oct 30 1984 12:00AM