WORKSHOP ON LONG-RANGE URBAN SYSTEMS PLANNING. WORKSHOP SUMMARY

A principal finding of the workshop was that the rate of development of new techniques for travel forecasting has outstripped the rate of innovation in planning and policy analysis practice, which has resulted in use of inappropriate, ineffective and inefficient procedures in some aspects of practice. The essential problem with respect to travel forecasting in long-range planning is failure to implement potentially more effective tools. In the U.S. the policies of federal, state and local governments provide no incentives for forecasts to be right and no penalties for being wrong. While technology is the main issue, such accomplisment is not easy and it is not apparent how to go about it. Uncertainty associated with forecasts seems to be increasing, yet the ability to define that uncertainty is exceedingly poor. Three areas need action: (1) Implementation of improved but existing methods; (2) Demonstration of application of new methods to show their utility to potential users and test their effectiveness; (3) Several key research areas need further investigation.

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    • Proceedings of a conference held October 3-7, 1982, Easton, Maryland. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Transportation Research Board

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  • Authors:
    • Stuart, Darwin G
    • Schofer, Joseph L
  • Conference:
  • Publication Date: 1983

Media Info

  • Media Type: Digital/other
  • Pagination: pp 17-18
  • Monograph Title: TRAVEL ANALYSIS METHODS FOR THE 1980S
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    Open Access (libre)

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00390195
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
  • Created Date: Oct 30 1984 12:00AM