USE OF MATHEMATICAL MODELS IN AUTOMOTIVE TRANSPORTATION POLICY ANALYSIS: A CASE STUDY
Over the last decade, vast resources have been spent on developing and implementing automotive-transportation and energy-system models. The most widely used model of the automotive transportation/energy sector is the Sweeney Passenger Car Gasoline Demand Model. The use of the Sweeney Model was examined in a case study to determine the impacts in the policy process of model application. Thirty-six academic, industrial, and governmental users of the Sweeney Model were interviewed to determine why they used the model, the nature of the use, and the appropriateness and impact of the use. It was found that the model was widely applied. The primary use was conceptual rather than instrumental, that is, it affected the thinking of the model user rather than directly impacting a policy decision. The findings of the study suggest that model authors or peer reviewers should be involved to ensure an adequate knowledge base before an application is begun. If a model is to be developed, there should be specific applications planned, and clear commitments to model use. These implications extend beyond the scope of automotive transportation/energy models.
University of Michigan, Ann ArborAnn Arbor, MI United States 48109
- Richardson, B C
- Publication Date: 1982
- Pagination: 188 p.
- TRT Terms: Automobiles; Case studies; Mathematical models; Transportation policy; Utilization
- Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Research; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;
- Accession Number: 00386705
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: Thesis
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Aug 30 2001 12:00AM