Projections for passenger transport 2018-2050

Framskrivinger for persontransport 2018-2050: Oppdatering av beregninger fra 2019

The Institute of Transport Economics (TØI) has developed revised travel demand projections for passenger transport 2018-2050, based on calculations with the models NTM6 and RTM. The projections apply to a situation where no new measures are being introduced to influence transport demand in any particular direction. As with the original calculation, the number of trips is expected to increase approximately in line with population growth, with the highest growth for car and public transport. Demographic development as well as infrastructure improvements are important factors for growth in transport. A significant increase in the proportion of electric cars with lower mileage costs, and the assumption that all toll stations outside urban areas are removed during the analysis period, are important drivers for cars to increase significantly more than air traffic on long trips. In total, the number of trips is estimated to increase by just over 12 % from 2018 to 2050, while passenger transport work (excluding walking/cycling) in the same period increases by approximately 25 %.

• Record URL:
  https://www.toi.no/getfile.php?mmfileid=55526
• 
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9788248023555
• Supplemental Notes:
  • © 2021 Institute of Transport Economics/Transportøkonomisk Institutt. Report in Norwegian; summary in English.
• Corporate Authors:

  Institute of Transport Economics (TØI)

  Gaustadalleen 21
  Oslo,   Norway  N-0349

  Norway. Ministry of Transport

  ,    
• Authors:
  • Madslien, Anne
  • Steinsland, Christian
  • Hulleberg, Nina
• Publication Date: 2021-3

Language

• Norwegian
• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Appendices; Figures; Maps; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 72p
• Serial:
  • TØI Report
  • Issue Number: 1824/2021
  • Publisher: Institute of Transport Economics (TØI)
  • ISSN: 0808-1190
  • EISSN: 2535-5104
  • Serial URL: https://www.toi.no/publications/category29.html
• Publication flags:

  Open Access (libre)

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobile travel; Forecasting; Highway transportation; Passenger transportation; Trip generation
• Geographic Terms: Norway
• Subject Areas: Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01775226
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 9788248023555
• Report/Paper Numbers: 5016 - Revised projections
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jun 24 2021 4:43PM