Ontario's Pedestrian Crash Causation Study: A Focus on the Impact of Large-Scale Trends on Road Safety
Pedestrian-involved collisions are a key contributor to roadway fatalities in Ontario, and pedestrian deaths have been growing as a proportion of total road fatalities. This study aimed first to determine trends in the pedestrian fatality rate in Ontario over time, and second to assess the impact of select large-scale trends on pedestrian fatalities. Large-scale trends were identified through a review of literature and hypotheses were tested using Ontario collision data from 2002-2016. The following four key areas were assessed for their impact: 1) The ageing demographic; 2) the impact of increasing consumer preference for light trucks; 3) the potential for an increase in alcohol-consuming pedestrians associated with a decrease in alcohol-consuming drivers, and; 4) increasing inattention, in part by electronic device use, by pedestrians and drivers. A quadratic model with a minimum at 2010 best described changes in Ontario’s pedestrian fatality rate, suggesting a transition from a decreasing to increasing trend at that time. Results of the four key areas were: 1) The proportion of killed pedestrians aged 75 and older has been increasing over time, a trend that can be fully explained by their increased representation in Ontario’s population. This trend is expected to continue. 2) Similarly, the increase in the proportion of pedestrians killed by a light truck can be explained by their increased representation in Ontario’s registered vehicle population. 3) The odds of a pedestrian being alcohol positive have been decreasing over time. 4) The odds are higher that a driver who kills a pedestrian is inattentive.
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Supplemental Notes:
- This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ACH10 Standing Committee on Pedestrians.
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Corporate Authors:
Transportation Research Board
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Authors:
- Plonka, Sarah C
- Volo, Sara
- Byrne, Patrick A
- Sinclair, Ian
- Prabha, Thadsha
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Conference:
- Transportation Research Board 100th Annual Meeting
- Location: Washington DC, United States
- Date: 2021-1-5 to 2021-1-29
- Date: 2021
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Digital/other
- Features: Figures; References;
- Pagination: 16p
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Age groups; Alcohol use; Attention lapses; Crash causes; Fatalities; Pedestrian vehicle crashes; Vehicle size
- Geographic Terms: Ontario
- Subject Areas: Highways; Pedestrians and Bicyclists; Safety and Human Factors;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01764191
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: TRBAM-21-01497
- Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
- Created Date: Feb 4 2021 11:00AM