Activity-Based Model Application for Business Reopening Scenarios after COVID-19

COVID-19 made a profound impact on all aspects of life and associated activity-travel behavior. The primary purpose of the maximum business closure, except for the essential businesses, in the period of March-April 2020 was saving human lives and stopping the virus from spreading, especially in urbanized areas. At the current stage starting from May 2020, a gradual reopening of businesses is taking place. Business reopening scenarios should be planned and staged to properly balance the socio-economic benefits with the still remaining risks of a further spread of the virus and specifically, affecting the most vulnerable populations such as elderly people. This paper reports an approach to utilize the Activity-Based Model (ABM) recently developed by the Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) for the purpose of planning and evaluation of business reopening scenarios in the Phoenix, AZ metropolitan region. The model output can be considered as a “digital twin” of the modelled region where a complete record is available for where people are in the region at any point of time and for what activity. This feature allows for modeling different business reopening scenarios and evaluation of their consequences with regard to a potential further spread of the virus (on one hand) and socio-economic cost/benefit for the regional population and economy (on the other hand).

• Record URL:
  https://annualmeeting.mytrb.org/OnlineProgram/Details/15832
• Supplemental Notes:
  • This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AEP50 Standing Committee on Transportation Demand Forecasting.
• Corporate Authors:

  Transportation Research Board

  ,    
• Authors:
  • Livshits, Vladimir
  • Dutta, Arup
  • Maneva, Petya
  • Jeon, Kyunghwi
  • You, Daehyun
  • Zhu, Haidong
  • Vovsha, Peter
  • Vyas, Gaurav
  • Hicks, Jim
  • Ory, David
• Conference:
  • Transportation Research Board 100th Annual Meeting
  • Location: Washington DC, United States
  • Date: 2021-1-5 to 2021-1-29
• Date: 2021

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 19p

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Activity choices; Business practices; Businesses; Communicable diseases; COVID-19; Economic factors; Travel behavior
• Geographic Terms: Phoenix (Arizona)
• Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Economics; Transportation (General);

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01763914
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: TRBAM-21-01604
• Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
• Created Date: Feb 4 2021 10:57AM