Modeling public transport recovery time following the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak: Evidence from Athens, Greece

The COVID-19 outbreak led to significant changes in daily commuting. As lockdowns were imposed to metropolitan areas throughout the globe, travelers refrained heavily from using public transport, to maintain social distancing. Based on data from Athens, Greece, this paper investigates the anticipated, post-pandemic behavior of travelers with respect to using public transport. Focus is given on analyzing those factors that affect port-pandemic recovery time of public transport users, i.e. the time travelers would refrain from using public transport, following a gradual exit from the pandemic outbreak and relaxation of lockdowns. A discrete duration model is developed for that purpose. Findings suggest that self-employed, middle aged and travelers who mostly use private vehicles, are less likely to use public transport after the outbreak. When it comes to psychological factors and travelers’ perception, those who would be willing to use protection gear when traveling with public transport are also less likely to return to this way of commuting.


  • English

Media Info

  • Media Type: Digital/other
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: 15p

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01763895
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: TRBAM-21-00882
  • Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
  • Created Date: Dec 23 2020 11:14AM