How COVID-19 Will Shape Urban Mobility

This document examines travel behavior during the COVID-19 lockdown and anticipated travel behavior over the short term and medium term (12-18 months from now with a possible vaccine in place). It is based on a survey conducted in April 2020 of 5,000 respondents from major cities in China, Western Europe, and the U.S. It begins with a look at the use of transportation modes during lockdown. During lockdown the use of most transportation modes declined. For the short-term, after lock-down, respondents expected to increase their walking, bicycling, or driving their own car and to use public transit and shared-mobility modes less frequently. In fact, more than 60% of Chinese respondents said that post-lockdown they were more likely to purchase an automobile. In the medium term, respondents say their use of public transit and shared mobility will increase. The authors present two scenarios, one featuring a resurgence of private car use and one featuring the return of public transit and micromobility use (the more likely scenario per the authors). The report concludes with actions that mobility providers, cities and policymakers, and investors could take to restore public transit ridership and the use of mobility services.

• Record URL:
  https://www.bcg.com/publications/2020/how-covid-19-will-shape-urban-mobility
• Corporate Authors:

  Boston Consulting Group

  ,    
• Authors:
  • Bert, Julien
  • Schellong, Daniel
  • Hagenmaier, Markus
  • Hornstein, David
  • Wegscheider, Augustin K
  • Palme, Thomas
• Publication Date: 2020-6-16

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures;
• Pagination: 10p

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobiles; Cities; Communicable diseases; COVID-19; Forecasting; Mode choice; Public transit; Recommendations; Shared mobility; Surveys; Travel behavior
• Geographic Terms: China; United States; Western Europe
• Subject Areas: Highways; Pedestrians and Bicyclists; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01758498
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Nov 20 2020 10:27AM