Mathematical Modeling of Ice Loads on Ship Hull in View of Their Stochastic Nature: Method Development & Solution Implementation

This article is of a conceptual nature and deals through the example of ice loads with the consideration of general issues related to researching the external environmental effects on marine infrastructure facilities under presence and influence of random components. Fundamentals of method for modeling the stochastic ice loads on ship hull based on combination of probabilistic and simulation approaches and developed under direct participation of authors are outlined. The detailed stepwise algorithm to implement the appropriate modeling process and its flow chart are submitted. Key aspects of processing, representing and assessing the output data of probabilistic simulation of ice loads acting on ship hull are noted. Certain results of modeling the random values of design ice load parameters are provided and interpreted applied to the real ice-going ship operating in the ice conditions of specified navigation water area and season. Practically significant problems within which it is expedient to use the developed solution are formulated. The conclusion is drawn that the introduction of probabilistic simulation concept, together with the application of direct calculation methods, to assess and forecast the ice loads on ship hull will ultimately contribute to a considerable decrease in the damageability level and increase in the safety level for marine transport when operating in ice.


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  • Accession Number: 01745136
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jul 1 2020 4:04PM