COMMUTER AIRLINE FORECASTS

This publication presents forecasts of commuter air carrier activity and describes the models designed for forecasting Conterminous United States, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, Hawaii, and individual airport activity. These forecasts take into account the recent dynamic growth of the commuter industry and the effects of the changed operating and marketing environment created by the Airline Deregulation Act of 1978. A separate forecast is provided for commuter cargo activity. Lastly, modeling approaches were evaluated to forecast activity at individual airports which the FAA expects to utilize in preparing its annual Terminal Area Forecast. Descriptions of the models are provided in the Appendices. The models developed under this contract represents an initial effort by FAA to described and Forecast a major sector of Aviation. It is anticipated that there will be further refinements to the models as the commuter industry evolves and additional data becomes available. (Author)

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Prepared in cooperation with SRI International, Menlo Park, CA.
• Corporate Authors:

  Wilson-Hill Associates, Incorporated

  Washington, DC  United States 

  Federal Aviation Administration

  800 Independence Avenue, SW
  Washington, DC  United States  20591
• Authors:
  • Medville, H
  • Starry, C
  • Bernstein, G
• Publication Date: 1981-5

Media Info

• Pagination: 116 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air traffic; Airport terminals; Airports; Civil aviation; Commodities; Economic models; Forecasting; Freight transportation; Marketing; Mathematical prediction; Passenger aircraft; Regulations; Simulation; Utilization
• Geographic Terms: Hawaii; Puerto Rico; U.S. Virgin Islands; United States
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Data and Information Technology; Economics; Freight Transportation; Law; Research; Terminals and Facilities;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00346155
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Report/Paper Numbers: FAA-APO-81-7
• Contract Numbers: DOT-FA79WAI-138
• Files: NTIS, USDOT
• Created Date: Jan 29 2003 12:00AM