MACRO-ECONOMIC FORECASTING MODEL FOR FREIGHT TRANSPORT BY RAIL

MAPROG is a forecasting instrument. The forecasting formula is fairly simple; the role of the computer is confined to simulating distributions of probabilities. In addition, it is an objective instrument for short and medium term forecasts which nevertheless leaves enough room to deal with a certain number of elements of a subjective nature. Because the MAPROG model does not supply a single forecasting value, but a scale of possible values with the associated probabilities of realization, it is a practical model. In particular it allows for the important role played by change in the development and volume of rail transport in the Netherlands, and also attempts to quantify this uncertainty.

• Corporate Authors:

  International Railway Congress Association

  17-21 rue de Louvrain
  1000 Brussels,   Belgium 
• Authors:
  • Remkes, A
  • Donk, HA van der
• Publication Date: 1981-3

Media Info

• Features: Appendices; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 131-137
• Serial:
  • RAIL INTERNATIONAL
  • Volume: 12
  • Issue Number: 3

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Forecasting; Freight traffic; Information processing; Mathematical models; Traffic forecasting
• Identifier Terms: Nederlandse Spoorwegen
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Freight Transportation; Railroads;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00335447
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: International Union of Railways
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Aug 15 1981 12:00AM