Impacts of the Belt and Road Initiative in the Indian subcontinent under future port development scenarios

The aim of this paper is twofold: the first is to assess the extent to which current port development initiatives contribute to securing the status of the Port of Colombo as a regional transshipment (T/S) hub to serve the Indian subcontinent; and the second is to generate plausible future development scenarios for the maritime industry in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). A scenario analysis method is applied to examine the past trends and to build future development scenarios. The results showed that major Indian ports have experienced a significant growth in cargo volumes and vessel traffic. South and East Indian coastal ports continue to use the Port of Colombo as a T/S port in tandem with the corridors connected to the Indian Ocean. Scenario analysis highlights the growing importance of BRI-centric land-based economic corridors, which would generate a large amount of cargos from hinterlands up to China. This would be further fueled through the Great Mekong region-driven industrialization, which would add to the west-bound maritime cargo volume. The paper concludes that the increased capital influx from China would more likely to result in a substantial development of the present port and road/rail infrastructure in Sri Lanka.

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    • © 2019 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group 2019. Abstract reprinted with permission of Taylor & Francis.
  • Authors:
    • Ruan, Xiao
    • Bandara, Yapa Mahinda
    • Lee, Jun-Yeop
    • Lee, Paul Tae-Woo
    • Chhetri, Prem
  • Publication Date: 2019-11

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  • English

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  • Accession Number: 01725079
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Dec 16 2019 11:30AM