FORECASTING METHOD FOR GENERAL AVIATION AIRCRAFT AND THEIR ACTIVITY

This paper describes the formulation and application of a general aviation (GA) forecasting model within the context of the North Central Texas regional airport system planning process. The objective of the model was to provide a means of forecasting registered county-level GA aircraft ownership and the activity of those aircraft (hours flown) that allows public policymakers and planners to assess the impact of policy and economic growth alternatives on GA demand. The bottom-to-top econometric and time-series model developed through this effort achieved these objectives with statistical results that varied across the 19 counties and four aircraft types. Finally, a feature of this model uncommon to other GA forecasting models is that the demand for aircraft is specified to be (among other things) a function of the demand for air travel (hours flown). (Authors)

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 50-58
  • Monograph Title: Aviation forecasting and systems analyses
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00331269
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 0309031125
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Oct 28 1981 12:00AM