YEAR 1990: TRANSIT RIDERSHIP FORECASTS

This study developed transit ridership forecasts for the year 1990. To this end, a separate paradigm was calibrated for each of the twenty-four transit systems investigated. The models relate transit usage rate, measured in annual trips per capita, to a number of causal parameters, including: fare, level of service, gross personal income, and residential and transit network densities. Transit ridership was derived by multiplying the forecast transit usage rate by projected population size. Forecasts of ridership and ridership rates generated were based on a number of alternative fare and level of service policies postulated for the period 1976-1990. Conclusions outlining the impact of these operating policies of ridership and ridership rates are presented.

  • Supplemental Notes:
    • Prepared in Cooperation with Presage Research Limited.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Transport Canada

    Surface Transportation Administration, 1000 Sherbrooke Street, West
    Montreal, Quebec  Canada  H3A 2R3
  • Publication Date: 1979-8

Media Info

  • Features: Figures; Tables;
  • Pagination: 43 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00323353
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Transportation Association of Canada
  • Report/Paper Numbers: NTP2204 Monograph
  • Files: ITRD, TRIS
  • Created Date: Jan 19 1981 12:00AM