Road to Zero: Developing A Vision for a Future with Zero Roadway Fatalities

Imagine that in 2050, not a single person in the United States dies in a traffic crash. To develop a rigorous framework about how this might be achieved, the authors developed a participatory foresight-based scenario development process, combining elements of the Three-Horizon Foresight and Assumption-Based Planning methods. This exercise brought together stakeholders from a variety of backgrounds to develop a shared vision of how roadway deaths could be reduced to zero. This vision was based on three approaches. The first is doubling down on programs and policies that have already been shown to be effective. The second is accelerating advanced technology, beginning with advanced driver assistance systems and progressing up to fully automated vehicles. The third is prioritizing safety, which includes both (1) embracing a new safety culture and (2) widespread adoption of the “Safe System” approach, a paradigm shift in addressing the causes and prevention of roadway deaths and injuries. Key stakeholders—including professional engineering and planning organizations, public-sector organizations, safety advocates, vehicle manufacturers, technology developers, public health, emergency medical and trauma care organizations, and law enforcement and judicial system representatives—can bring about the changes needed to achieve zero roadway deaths by 2050.

  • Supplemental Notes:
    • This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ANB10 Standing Committee on Transportation Safety Management.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Transportation Research Board

  • Authors:
    • Ecola, Liisa
    • Popper, Steven W
    • Silberglitt, Richard
    • Fraade-Blanar, Laura
  • Conference:
  • Date: 2019


  • English

Media Info

  • Media Type: Digital/other
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: 18p

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01697588
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: 19-06014
  • Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
  • Created Date: Dec 7 2018 9:32AM