Fears about future petroleum scarcity and the need to establish priorities for the development of new energy technologies have extended the time horizons of energy policy and demand forecasts. One recent long-term demand forecast for the UK is that by cheshire and surrey. Although they adopted a sectoral approach their study leaves some questions unanswered. Do they succeed in their aim of making all their assumptions fully explicit? How sensitive are their estimates to changes in assumptions and policies? Are important problems and 'turning points' fully identified in the period up to and immediately beyond their time horizon of 2000? The author addresses these questions by using a computer model based on the study by Cheshire and Surrey. (a) (TRRL)

  • Availability:
  • Corporate Authors:

    IPC Science and Technology Press Limited

    IPC House, 32 High Street
    Guildford, Surrey  England 
  • Authors:
    • Thomas, S D
  • Publication Date: 1980-3

Media Info

  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: p. 17-37
  • Serial:
    • Energy Policy
    • Volume: 8
    • Issue Number: 1
    • Publisher: Butterworth Scientific Limited
    • ISSN: 0301-4215

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00314576
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
  • Files: ITRD, TRIS
  • Created Date: Nov 19 1980 12:00AM