A residential land-use-allocation model most suitable for use in small and medium-sized cities is described. It can also be used in large metropolitan areas to serve as a check or backup method on the reasonableness of forecasts produced by more sophisticated models. The model makes use of Gompertz curves and the concept of holding capacity to allocate regional totals to planning areas. Residential development factors are then used to further distribute these planning-area totals to small areas such as census tracts or traffic zones. In an ex post facto test of this model in which the U-statistic was used as a measure of performance, the accuracy of the method was found to be excellent in comparison with that of sophisticated, computer-oriented urban development models. Use of the procedure will save money, time, and personnel, all of which are important considerations for planning organizations that work under a fixed budget. (Author)

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 34-38
  • Monograph Title: Issues in Transportation Planning for Small and Medium-Sized Communities
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00310739
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 0309029848
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Aug 5 1980 12:00AM