This collation of available statistical data for speculation on the urban future, focuses on demographic trends and their policy inclinations. The future demand for central city transportation is a function of its resident population, of non-resident workers, and non-residents attracted to the city for a variety of non-job related purposes. The various aspects discussed include the decelerating population growth, changing household formations, population change determinants, and the net migration criterion. Central city aspects such as shrinking population, shifting importance, age structure shifts, household types, income shifts, and employment trends are discussed. It is noted that there has been little, if any, abatement in the broader centrifugal forces depleting the city. The dominant phenomenon of the 1970s (preceding the 1979 energy crisis) has been the resynthesis of the metropolitan activity system to the outer fringe adjacent to the circumferential transportation band. More dispersed, peripheral nonmetropolitan population growth may in part be considered "surrogate" metropolitan growth dependent on transport links to the new circumferential metropolitan economy. The spatial form of the latter exurbia appears as undocumented metropolitan extensions or outcroppings along new or improved transportation routes. The city core transportation issue is being blunted by a decline in need.

  • Availability:
  • Corporate Authors:

    Eno Transportation Foundation

    1250 I Street, NW, Suite 750
    Washington, DC  United States  20005
  • Authors:
    • Sternlieb, G
    • Hughes, J W
  • Publication Date: 1979-10

Media Info

  • Features: Tables;
  • Pagination: p. 617-636
  • Serial:
    • Traffic Quarterly
    • Volume: 33
    • Issue Number: 4
    • Publisher: Eno Transportation Foundation
    • ISSN: 0041-0713

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00308079
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Aug 5 1981 12:00AM