Are Young Adults Really Flocking Back to the City? An Analysis of Migration Trends under Evolving Transportation and Urban Environments
The travel behavior of young adults, including their preference for multimodality and lower vehicle miles traveled, has drawn significant attention in the transportation literature. Some studies argue that a new pattern of residential location choice among young adults is one of the reasons behind these observed travel behavior—that a “back-to-the-city” movement is making young adults to increasingly move to denser places. Others argue that many young adults are still moving out to the suburbs than the other way around. This study aims to examine the migration trend of young adults and the factors that influence these trends through a statistical model using longitudinal data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. The migration trend analysis and the model results confirm that young adults have a different location choice pattern as compared to older adults. The authors find a pattern favoring central cities for the youngest adults, while the trend for the older groups has remained in favor of suburban locations. This movement has transportation implications for many central cities which should stand ready to offer transit and non-motorized alternatives to this subset of the population and also use such alternatives as a way of attracting more young adults.
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Supplemental Notes:
- This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADB10 Standing Committee on Traveler Behavior and Values.
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Corporate Authors:
500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC United States 20001 -
Authors:
- Shin, Jaeyong
- Tilahun, Nebiyou
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Conference:
- Transportation Research Board 96th Annual Meeting
- Location: Washington DC, United States
- Date: 2017-1-8 to 2017-1-12
- Date: 2017
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Digital/other
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: 16p
- Monograph Title: TRB 96th Annual Meeting Compendium of Papers
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Cities; Migration; Public transit; Residential location; Suburbs; Trend (Statistics); Young adults
- Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Public Transportation;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01632205
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: 17-06406
- Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
- Created Date: Apr 6 2017 12:28PM