Travel in Britain in 2035: future scenarios and their implications for technology innovation

RAND Europe, in collaboration with Risk Solutions and Dr Johanna Zmud from the Texas A&M Transportation Institute, was commissioned by Innovate UK to develop future travel scenarios for 2035, considering possible social and economic changes and exploiting key technologies and innovation in ways that could reduce congestion. The purpose of this independent research is to explore and examine how new technologies may influence travel and to facilitate discussion about how transport can be more efficient in future. In no way are the findings intended to reflect the views, opinions or policy of Innovate UK or the UK Government. The scenario methodology focuses on identifying the potential impact of critical factors and technologies on five activities and the travel associated with them – undertaking work and business, shopping, seeking healthcare, making long-distance journeys for work or leisure, and freight activity. It combines expert opinion, gathered via in-person workshops, with cross-impact analysis, consistency analysis and cluster analysis. The scenarios are then used to identify innovation investments and policies that provide benefits across the range of possible futures. This report describes the main aspects of the study: the identification of key future technologies, the development of the scenarios, and the findings from interviews with experts about what the scenarios may mean for innovation and policy priorities. It may be of use to policymakers or researchers who are interested in future travel and the influence of technology.

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Pagination: 73p

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01607821
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: ARRB
  • Files: ATRI
  • Created Date: Aug 22 2016 10:18AM