A New Model for Piracy and Robbery Risk Assessment

Internationally, more than 55,000 merchant ships carry more than 8.4 billion tonnes of goods each year. It is important to understand how to use the current capabilities to identify, assess and address maritime security issues, and how to improve the ability to do so in future through the most efficient use of available resources. It is also necessary to carefully assess and prioritise the maritime risks and opportunities being faced and allocate resources rationally. In this research, an analytical model incorporating Bayesian reasoning is proposed to estimate the likelihood of a ship being hijacked in the Western Indian or Eastern African region. Available data collected from the Global Integrated Shipping Information System (GISIS) together with expert judgement is used to demonstrate and validate the proposed model. This model can be used by maritime stakeholders to make cost-effective decisions in their operations under high uncertainties.


  • English

Media Info

  • Media Type: Digital/other
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 286-293
  • Monograph Title: Proceedings of the International Forum on Shipping, Ports and Airports (IFSPA) 2015: Empowering Excellence in Maritime and Air Logistics: Innovation Management and Technology

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01609481
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 9789623677967
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Aug 8 2016 3:25PM