Driverless Transportation—Two Future Scenarios

Driverless cars are coming. Driverless transit is already here in the form of driverless trains, people movers, and automated transit networks (ATN). This paper examines two different potential future scenarios. In the car-centric scenario, the mode split between cars and transit remains more or less static. In the transit-centric scenario, there is a strong swing to transit modes enabled mostly by ATN. The paper compares the two scenarios with regard to factors such as safety, capacity/congestion, infrastructure, severance, energy use, cost, greenhouse gases, walkability, and real estate. It suggests methodologies for determining which scenario is publically preferred and what might be done to help a preferred scenario emerge.


  • English

Media Info

  • Media Type: Web
  • Features: References;
  • Pagination: pp 140-151
  • Monograph Title: International Conference on Transportation and Development 2016: Projects and Practices for Prosperity

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01606304
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 9780784479926
  • Files: TRIS, ASCE
  • Created Date: Jun 20 2016 3:02PM