Time Series Analysis of Shinkansen (High Speed Rail) Construction Impact on Rail and Air Demand: Analysis with Tohoku
This study analyses how the high speed rail (Shinkansen) construction in Northeast Japan, the Tohoku region, has affected total demand and interregional travel patterns. For this study the authors use annual interregional traffic volume data for public transport modes from 1989 to 2012. The authors find that the Shinkansen increases rail and total public transport trips soon and furthermore generates additional rail demand year by year. Further, the Shinkansen caused a transport mode change from air to rail at opening its operation and increases rail share year by year. In contrast the “Mini-Shinkansen”, that is the Shinkansen lines that branch from the main line and operate with limited speed, do not increase rail demand significantly when they start operation; however, to some degree, also motivate gradual changes in mode choice.
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Supplemental Notes:
- This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AR010 Standing Committee on Intercity Passenger Rail. Alternate title: Time-Series Analysis of Shinkansen Construction Impact on Rail and Air Demand: Analysis with Tohoku and Kyushu Data.
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Corporate Authors:
500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC United States 20001 -
Authors:
- Demizu, Fumiaki
- Li, Yeun-Touh
- Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk
- Nakamura, Toshiyuki
- Uno, Nobuhiro
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Conference:
- Transportation Research Board 95th Annual Meeting
- Location: Washington DC, United States
- Date: 2016-1-10 to 2016-1-14
- Date: 2016
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Digital/other
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: 14p
- Monograph Title: TRB 95th Annual Meeting Compendium of Papers
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: High speed rail; Modal shift; Ridership; Time series analysis; Travel demand
- Identifier Terms: Shinkansen
- Geographic Terms: Japan
- Subject Areas: Operations and Traffic Management; Passenger Transportation; Railroads;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01595059
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: 16-5324
- Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
- Created Date: Mar 31 2016 9:32AM