Changes in Oil Transportation in the Years 2020 and 2030 – The Case of the Gulf of Finland

This paper covers the current state of maritime oil transportation in the Baltic Sea and the development of oil transportation in the 2000s, as well as estimations of transported oil volumes in 2020 and 2030 in the Gulf of Finland. The scenarios were formulated on the basis of a current state analysis, energy and transportation strategies and scenarios and expert assessments. The study showed that the volumes of oil transportation in the Gulf of Finland will increase only moderately compared to the current status: 9.5-33.8 %, depending on the scenario. Green energy policy favors renewable energy sources, which can be seen in the smaller volumes of transported oil in the 2030 scenarios compared to the 2020 scenarios. In the Slow development 2020 scenario, oil transport volumes for 2020 are expected to be 170.6 Mt (million tons), in the Average development 2020 187.1 Mt and in the Strong development 2020 201.5 Mt. The corresponding oil volumes for the 2030 scenarios were 165 Mt for the Stagnating development 2030 scenario, 177.5 Mt for the Towards a greener society 2030 scenario and 169.5 Mt in the Decarbonizing society 2030 scenario.

• Record URL:
  https://doi.org/10.12716/1001.08.03.11
• Record URL:
  http://www.transnav.eu/Article_Changes_in_Oil_Transportation_in_,31,523.html
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/20836473
• Supplemental Notes:
  • © 2014 O.‐P. Brunila and J. Storgård
• Authors:
  • Brunila, O-P
  • Storgård, J
• Publication Date: 2014-9

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Digital/other
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 403-409
• Serial:
  • TransNav, the International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation
  • Volume: 8
  • Issue Number: 3
  • Publisher: Akademia Morska w Gdyni
  • ISSN: 2083-6473
  • EISSN: 2083-6481
  • Serial URL: http://www.transnav.eu/
• Publication flags:

  Open Access (libre)

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Freight transportation; Oils; Renewable energy sources; Shipping; Sustainable development
• Geographic Terms: Baltic Sea; Gulf of Finland
• Subject Areas: Freight Transportation; Marine Transportation; Operations and Traffic Management; I73: Traffic Control;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01558513
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Mar 31 2015 8:53AM