LAND USE IN TRAFFIC GENERATION

A PRACTICAL METHOD USED IN NEW HAVEN FOR LAND USE ESTIMATION IS PRESENTED. THE LAND USE FORECAST ATTEMPTS TO PREDICT ACCUMULATIVE EFFECT OF ACTIONS WHICH WILL BE TAKEN BY VARIOUS PUBLIC AND PRIVATE INTERESTS THAT MIGHT CONSIDER CONSTRUCTION IN THE ZONE UNDER QUESTION. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A REALISTIC PREVIEW OF WHAT THE LAND USE OF THE ZONE MIGHT LOOK LIKE IN A TARGET YEAR. THE METHOD EMPLOYED WAS AS FOLLOWS: (1) OBTAIN STATISTICS CONCERNING LAND USE FOR EACH ZONE, (2) BECOME ACQUAINTED WITH THE NATURE OF EACH ZONE IN ITS RELATIONSHIP TO THE REST OF THE AREA, ITS STREET PATTERN AND RELATIONSHIP TO GENERALIZED ARTERIAL PLANS, ITS TERRAIN, ITS SOIL CONDITIONS, ITS EXISTING STRUCTURE CONDITIONS AND EXISTING KINDS OF INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL ESTABLISHMENTS, (3) CONSIDER PRESENT ZONING AND PROBABLE CHANGES, (4) ESTIMATE WHAT MIGHT BE CONSTRUCTED ON ANY REMAINING OPEN AREA IN THE ZONE AND IN ANY AREA WHICH MIGHT BE REPLACED DUE TO OBSOLESCENCE OR CHANGES IN LAND USE. AS A CHECK AGAINST THIS METHOD, THE OVER-ALL ESTIMATE OF POPULATION AND INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL CONCENTRATION IN THE METROPOLITAN AREA RESULTING FROM THE SUMMATION OF THE SPECIFIC ZONAL ESTIMATES WAS COMPARED WITH GENERALIZED FORECASTS DEVELOPED FOR THE METROPOLITAN AREA AND THE REGION FROM GENERAL TREND STATISTICS. TRIP PRODUCTION AND TRIP PRODUCTION STUDIES ARE DESCRIBED.

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00240524
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Sep 16 1994 12:00AM