DEMAND FORECASTING FOR SHORT-RANGE AND LOW-CAPITAL OPTIONS--RESOURCE PAPER

THE AUTHOR CONTENDS THAT TRAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING CAN AND SHOULD BE USED IN THE PLANNING AND DESIGN OF SHORT-RANGE AND LOW-CAPITAL OPTIONS. DEMAND FORECASTING IN DESIGN CAN EITHER BE PROJECT SPECIFIC OR HAVE MORE GENERAL APPLICABILITY. DEMAND FORECASTING FOR PROJECT EVALUATION CAN BE FOR COMPARISON OF ALTERNATIVES OR FOR FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS. IN COMPARISON WITH LONG-RANGE FORECASTING, TRAVEL DEMAND ANALYSIS FOR SHORT-RANGE AND LOW-CAPITAL OPTIONS GENERALLY INVOLVES FEWER UNKNOWN ELEMENTS. PRIMARY CONCERN IS WITH EITHER MODE CHOICE OR ROUTE SELECTION OR BOTH. COMPREHENSIVE AND UP-TO-DATE DATA IS SUPREMELY IMPORTANT. THIS TYPE OF ANALYSIS MUST HAVE A FLEXIBLE STRUCTURE APPLICABLE TO A BROAD RANGE OF GEOGRAPHIC AREA SIZES AND LEVELS OF ANALYSIS DETAIL. THE REQUIREMENTS OF SPECIFIC USERS, TRANSPORTATION PLANNERS, CITIZEN GROUPS, AND DECISION-MAKERS, IS DISCUSSED AS IS THE DESIREABILITY OF SEQUENTIAL DEMAND MODELING. EXAMPLES OF ITS USE ARE CITED AS WELL AS POTENTIAL IMPROVEMENTS: TRAVEL DATA SURVEYS, MODEL-TESTING PROCEDURES MARKET-RESPONSE ANALYSIS, MODE AND ROUTE CHOICE ANALYSIS, IMPACT-ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES, MULTIPATH TRANSIT ASSIGNMENT, AND TIME AND COST ANALYSIS.

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: References;
  • Pagination: pp 34-44
  • Monograph Title: URBAN TRAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00242682
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
  • Created Date: Jul 16 1982 12:00AM