FORECASTING TRAVEL DEMAND FOR NEW URBAN TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS

THE PAPER PRESENTS THE EXPERIENCE GAINED AND THE CONCLUSIONS REACHED BY A UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA TEAM WHO CARRIED OUT THE FORECASTING PROCEDURES FOR THE MINICAR TRANSIT SYSTEM AS A PART OF A STUDY BY A LARGER GROUP AT THE UNIVERSITY. THE TECHNICAL PROBLEMS IN DETERMINING THE SYSTEM CHARACTERISTICS AND THE LEVELS OF SERVICE, IN DEFINING THE TRAVEL NEEDS OF THE STUDY AREAS, AND IN DEVELOPING AND APPLYING A METHOD OF TRAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING FOR A NOVICE SYSTEM ARE DISCUSSED IN THE LIGHT OF EXPERIENCE GAINED IN THE MINICAR TRANSIT PROJECT. THE NEW SYSTEM WAS STUDIED FOR THE PHILADELPHIA CBD AND THE LOW-INCOME DISTRICTS THAT SURROUND THE CBD ON 3 SIDES. MAJOR METHODOLOGICAL DILEMMAS AND LIMITATIONS OF MARKET ANALYSIS TOOLS ARE ALSO DISCUSSED. FORECASTS WERE MADE FOR MANIFEST TRAVEL DEMAND AND LATENT TRAVEL NEEDS. /AUTHOR/

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 26-35
  • Monograph Title: Transportation demand and analysis techniques
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00241792
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Feb 23 1973 12:00AM