Risk Assessment Methodology for Runway End Safety Area (RESA) at Canadian Airports

In response to recent domestic and international developments, Transport Canada Civil Aviation (TCCA) published Notice of Proposed Amendment (NPA) 2010-012 to mandate the implementation of Runway End Safety Areas (RESAs) at certain certificated airports. This is intended to harmonize the airport requirements for a RESA with the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) standards. As proposed in revised NPA, a RESA would be required if the runway is longer than 1200 m or if an instrument runway is utilized by passenger carriers with more than 9 passenger seats. As a result of industry feedback to the NPA and to better document the risks and safety benefits associated with RESA, TCCA released a request for proposal (RFP) for an independent risk assessment study. GENIVAR in combination with Applied Research Associates (ARA) was selected to conduct the study. The main objectives of the study are the following: (1) Develop a high level qualitative risk assessment model of runway overrun and undershoot; (2) Develop a consequence model for aircraft overrunning and undershooting a runway; (3) Develop a database of certificated airports runways to include major operational characteristics as well as RESA characteristics through surveys; and (4) Apply the consequence model to the database both in current RESA condition and in compliant condition. This paper presents the methodology that is developed for the risk assessment as it is pertinent to takeoff overrun events. Similar methodology can be used for the assessment of the risk for landing overrun and landing undershoot accidents. The risk assessment methodology consists of evaluating the likelihood of a takeoff overrun event based on historic accidents that have happened in Canada and combining that with a consequence model that is also derived from historic events. The paper also presents how the methodology could be implemented to assess the risk of overrun at Canadian airports responding to a questionnaire.


  • English

Media Info

  • Media Type: Digital/other
  • Features: Figures; Tables;
  • Pagination: 13p
  • Monograph Title: 2014 FAA Worldwide Airport Technology Transfer Conference Proceedings: Innovations in Airport Safety and Pavement Technology

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01538128
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: S10044
  • Files: TRIS, ATRI, USDOT
  • Created Date: Sep 9 2014 6:23AM