THE POTENTIAL TRANSPORTATION BENEFITS OF IMPROVED ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION

THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TECHNIQUE TO MEASURE PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE BEGAN WITH A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE ON THE EFFECTS OF ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION, WHICH LED TO THE CONCLUSION THAT THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE STUDY WERE TRULY UNIQUE. ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION IS ACCOMPLISHED BY THE USE OF DIFFERENT TECHNIQUES AND THE PREDICTIONS TAKE DIFFERENT FORMS, ACCORDING TO THE USES FOR WHICH THAY ARE INTENDED. THE TECHNIQUES - DETERMINISTIC, SUBJECTIVE, AND STATISTICAL - ARE DESCRIBED ALONG WITH THE KINDS OF PREDICTIONS NORMALLY ASSOCIATED WITH EACH. THE TECHNIQUE FOR MEASURING PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE, BOTH CURRENTLY AND AT IMPROVED LEVELS, IS DESCRIBED AS AN ACCOUNTING OF HITS AND MISSES. THE QUANTITATIVE RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS ARE PRESENTED IN TABLES ACCORDING TO THE THREE MAJOR TRANSPORTATION MODES - AIR, GROUND, AND MARINE. THESE TABLES SHOW RECOVERABLE COSTS OR LOSSES REPRESENTING PREDICTIVE IMPROVEMENT OF 25 PERCENT, 50 PERCENT AND PREDICTION WITHOUT ERROR.

  • Supplemental Notes:
    • Rmc Rept Ur-099, 138PP, APP
  • Corporate Authors:

    Rmc Research Corporation

    ,    
  • Publication Date: 1969-12

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00239951
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: May 13 1970 12:00AM