Examining driver injury severity in two vehicle crashes – A copula based approach

A most commonly identified exogenous factor that significantly affects traffic crash injury severity sustained is the collision type variable. Most studies consider collision type only as an explanatory variable in modeling injury. However, it is possible that each collision type has a fundamentally distinct effect on injury severity sustained in the crash. In this paper, the authors examine the hypothesis that collision type fundamentally alters the injury severity pattern under consideration. Toward this end, they propose a joint modeling framework to study collision type and injury severity sustained as two dimensions of the severity process. The authors employ a copula based joint framework that ties the collision type (represented as a multinomial logit model) and injury severity (represented as an ordered logit model) through a closed form flexible dependency structure to study the injury severity process. The proposed approach also accommodates the potential heterogeneity (across drivers) in the dependency structure. Further, the study incorporates collision type as a vehicle-level, as opposed to a crash-level variable as hitherto assumed in earlier research, while also examining the impact of a comprehensive set of exogenous factors on driver injury severity. The proposed modeling system is estimated using collision data from the province of Victoria, Australia for the years 2006 through 2010.

Language

  • English

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01526196
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Apr 4 2014 12:50PM