MEASURING TRANSPORTATION IN AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE

The evolution is described of the planning process which is a consequence of many forces and factors. The need is indicated for a planning process which will aid in the identification of affected groups and policy bodies, identify relevant system evaluation criteria, and develop effective means of measuring and reporting the consequences of alternatives in terms of those criteria. The planners face an increasingly complex and uncertain future environment. These uncertainties often introduce unanticipated information ultimately reflected in changing public values. Some of the more significant sources of uncertainity are the unanticipated change in land use zoning, the current energy situation, the current state of development in transportation technology, and the changing financing structure. Todays complex interactive type of planning process encountered in government is not fully served by the traditional systems analysis approach. A more complete planning support capability is needed that will be characterized by factors such as the development of an effective information system of analytical tools which better match the problem at hand; an evaluation process which consideres subjective (non quantifiable) human values; the clear demonstration of system performance characteristics; and the consideration of goods movement. Some of the more important sources of uncertainity may be eliminated through the adoption of appropriate state growth policies; improved land development; better understanding, analysis and reporting of behavioral patterns; improved transportation research and development programs; a national energy policy; strengthened regional planning organizations; more numerous transport options; and through physical control devices.

  • Supplemental Notes:
    • This paper was presented at the WASHTO Conference held in Portland Oregon on June 6, 1974.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Western Association of State Highway & Transp Off

    AASHTO, 341 National Press Building
    Washington, DC  United States  20004
  • Authors:
    • WHITMARSH, C C
  • Publication Date: 1974-6-6

Media Info

  • Features: References;
  • Pagination: 17 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00260815
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: Proceeding
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Nov 12 1974 12:00AM