Application of Forecasting Container Throughputs for Port Planning: Case of Bangkok Port

Containerization is an important transportation system in the rapidly growing international trade, especially in a country like Thailand that is very active in both import and export. However, forecasts of container growth and trade development of Bangkok Port, the main river port of Thailand, are scant and the findings are divergent. The aim of this paper is to forecast container throughputs of Bangkok Port by an integrated model of time series forecasting for predicting relevant economic factors and cause-and-effect forecasting for predicting future container throughput and to apply the results for planning port operations. In order to determine the benefits or the contributions of forecasting container throughput in Bangkok Port, this paper develops a best-fit forecasting method for Bangkok Port. The forecasting accuracy of the future throughput is crucial to Bangkok Port for planning and managing their container volumes in the future. Finally, the forecast container throughputs are used to assist the port planning which include terminal layout and yard crane planning. The yard layout is re-provisioned according to forecast container throughputs. Both types of Rubber Tyred Gantry (RTG) and Rail Mounted Gantry (RMG) Crane are considered in this paper.

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Media Type: Digital/other
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 661-669
  • Monograph Title: Proceedings of the International Forum on Shipping, Ports and Airports (IFSPA) 2013: Trade, Supply Chain Activities and Transport: Contemporary Logistics and Maritime Issues

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01497151
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 9789623677677
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Oct 29 2013 9:01PM