The future of mobility in cities: Challenges for urban modelling
Urban development in the last two centuries has been driven by an unprecedented growth in mobility made possible by abundant and cheap energy. Yet this trend will not continue forever. Despite technological innovation, finite fossil fuel reserves will in the long run lead to increasing costs of transport. Moreover, to fight global warming many governments have set ambitious greenhouse gas reduction targets, and to achieve them fossil fuels must become more expensive either through market developments or by political intervention. This paper gives an overview about the drivers, feedbacks and constraints of urban mobility and location in a possible future in which transport energy will no longer be abundant and cheap. It asks whether current urban models are able to adequately model the impacts of significantly higher transport costs and demonstrates by an example how it can be done.
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- Record URL:
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Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/29485010
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Supplemental Notes:
- Abstract reprinted with permission from Elsevier.
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Authors:
- Wegener, Michael
- Publication Date: 2013-9
Language
- English
Media Info
- Media Type: Print
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: pp 275-282
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Serial:
- Transport Policy
- Volume: 29
- Issue Number: 0
- Publisher: Elsevier
- ISSN: 0967-070X
- Serial URL: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/issn/096707X
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Cities; Climate change; Energy consumption; Forecasting; Global warming; Greenhouse gases; Land use models; Mobility; Urban development; Urban transportation policy
- Subject Areas: Energy; Environment; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Public Transportation; I15: Environment; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 01499436
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Nov 21 2013 9:21AM