Estimation of the benefits for potential options to modify UNECE regulation number 94 to improve a car's compatibility

Although the number of road accident casualties in Europe (EU27) is falling the problem still remains substantial. In 2011 there were still over 30,000 road accident fatalities. Approximately half of these were car occupants and about 60 percent of these occurred in frontal impacts. The next stage to improve a car’s safety performance in frontal impacts is to improve its compatibility. The objective of the FIMCAR FP7 EU-project was to develop an assessment approach suitable for regulatory application to control a car’s frontal impact and compatibility crash performance and perform an associated cost benefit analysis for its implementation. This paper reports the cost benefit analyses performed to estimate the effect of the following potential changes to the frontal impact regulation: Option 1- No change and allow current measures to propagate throughout the vehicle fleet. Option 2 - Add a full width test to the current offset Deformable Barrier (ODB) test. Option 3 - Add a full width (FW) test and replace the current ODB test with a Progressive Deformable Barrier (PDB) test. For the analyses national data were used from Great Britain (STATS 19) and from Germany (German Federal Statistical Office). In addition in-depth real word crash data were used from CCIS (Great Britain) and GIDAS (Germany). To estimate the benefit a generalised linear model, an injury reduction model and a matched pairs modelling approach were applied. The benefits were estimated to be: for option 1 "No change" about 2.0%; for option 2 "FW test" ranging from 5 to 12% and for option 3 "FW and PDB tests" 9 to 14% of car occupant killed and seriously injured casualties. (A) Paper to the session "Regulations and Consumer Aspects" of the 5th International Conference on ESAR "Expert Symposium on Accident Research", 7th to 8th September 2012 in Hannover.

Language

  • English

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01497307
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Bundesanstalt für Straßenwesen (BASt)
  • ISBN: 978-3-95606-021-2
  • Files: ITRD
  • Created Date: Oct 31 2013 9:53AM