A REVIEW OF TRAVEL FORECASTS

FORECASTS OF TRAVEL ARE SOMETIMES USED TO ESTIMATE FUTURE MAINTENANCE REQUIREMENTS AND THE NEED FOR FUTURE ROAD CONSTRUCTION AND RECONSTRUCTION. THIS REVIEW OF FORECASTS INDICATES THAT TRAVEL FORECASTS AND RELATED ITEMS MADE DURING THE PAST DECADE HAVE BEEN DEFINITELY ON THE LOW SIDE. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TRAVEL PER VEHICLE, INCREASES AFTER THE FORECASTS HAVE BEEN AT RATES GREATER THAN FORECASTS. MOTOR VEHICLE TRAVEL IS ONE OF THE FACTORS WHICH HAS AN IMPORTANT BEARING UPON THE NATION'S ECONOMY. HOWEVER, LITTLE WORK HAS BEEN DONE TO RELATE A FORECAST OF TRAVEL TO FUTURE ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, BUT IT IS IMPORTANT TO THE REASONABLENESS OF TRAVEL FORECAST THAT THIS BE DONE. UNTIL MORE ACCURATE FORECASTS CAN BE MADE, IT WILL BE A MATTER OF SOUND POLICY TO MAKE A PERIODIC REVIEW OF TRAVEL FORECASTS AND RELATED ITEMS.

Language

  • English

Media Info

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00227918
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: Proc 1963
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Aug 15 2004 2:36AM