THE DISTRIBUTION AND PREDICTION OF DRIVER ACCIDENT FREQUENCIES

AN OBJECTIVE OF THIS STUDY WAS TO EVALUATE THE CALIFORNIA POINT SYSTEM WHEREBY DRIVERS ARE SELECTED FOR DRIVER IMPROVEMENT ACTION. A SYSTEM WHICH SELECTS OUT FOR TREAT- MENT THOSE DRIVERS WHO ARE MOST LIKELY TO BE INVOLVED IN ACCIDENTS WAS GENERATED EMPIRICALLY BY MEANS OF MULTIPLE REGRESSION TECHNIQUES AND ITS ACCIDENT VALIDITY COMPARED TO ACCIDENT VALIDITY COMPARED TO THAT OF THE DRIVER RECORD INFORMATION FROM A RANDOM 2 PERCENT SAMPLE OF CALIFORNIA DRIVERS WAS RECORDED AND ANALYZED. THIS STUDY SHOWED THE TRAFFIC CONVICTION RECORD TO BE ABOUT THE BEST THIS STUDY SHOWED THE TRAFFIC CONVICTION RECORD TO BE INGS PROVIDE GENERAL EMPIRICAL SUPPORT FOR THE SELECTIVE APPLICATION OF DRIVER IMPROVEMENT TECHNIQUES BASED ON DRIVER RECORD INFORMATION. AT THE SAME TIME, THE FINDINGS ALSO INDICATE THAT HIGHLY-SELECTIVE TREATMENT PROGRAMS CAN NEVER BE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A DRAMATIC REDUCTION OF THE OVERALL ACCIDENT RATE. GREATER EFFORT SHOULD BE EXPENDED IN DEVELOPING INEXPENSIVE DRIVER IMPROVEMENT TECHNIQUES FOR USE ON THE GENERAL DRIVING POPULATION. /HSL/

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/00014575
• Authors:
  • Peck, R C
  • McBride, R S
  • COPPIN, R S
• Publication Date: 1971-3

Media Info

• Features: References;
• Pagination: p. 243-99
• Serial:
  • Accident Analysis & Prevention
  • Volume: 2
  • Issue Number: 4
  • Publisher: Elsevier
  • ISSN: 0001-4575
  • Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00014575

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Crash rates; Driver improvement programs; Forecasting; High risk drivers; Multiple regression analysis; Point demerit systems; Regression analysis; Traffic conviction
• Uncontrolled Terms: Driver improvement
• Old TRIS Terms: Multiple regression
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Highways; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00224266
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Highway Safety Literature
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Sep 12 1973 12:00AM