Risk analysis and fitness to drive: an evaluation of sensitivity issues

The risk of a driver of a road vehicle having a crash or 'accident' may be influenced by their medical condition or by the treatment they are receiving for a medical condition. Initiatives to reduce the overall accident rate can lead to pressure to refuse licences on ever more stringent medical grounds, but considerations of safety need to balanced against the disadvantages that such a refusal can confer on the individuals concerned. It is therefore reasonable to require that decisions are based on a careful assessment of the additional risks involved, using the best available information. However, the problem with an approach based on the assessment of risk is the uncertainty surrounding many of the estimates that it is necessary to make in order to complete the connection between medical risk and accident risk. The purpose of this report is to re-examine the conclusions of a previous report concerning the role of risk analysis in the evaluation of fitness to drive, with particular reference to the sensitivity of the results to variations in the assumptions on which they are based.


  • English

Media Info

  • Pagination: 24p
  • Serial:
    • Issue Number: 41

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01388743
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: ARRB
  • Files: ATRI
  • Created Date: Aug 23 2012 1:15AM