TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING. PRACTICAL PROBLEMS AND PITFALLS

Technological forecasting is becoming a widespread activity in business and the military. The actual accomplishment of the forecasting task is increasing in methodological sophistication. This article presents many practical problems and pitfalls encountered in planning and preparing technological forecasts. The authors examine the factors to be considered in the initial stages of implementing forecasts, the validity of previous forecasts, summarize recent advances, point out new hazards, evaluate the forecasting technique, and include some realistic suggestions for improved technological forecasts.

• Supplemental Notes:
  • This paper was published originally in European Business, Paris, France, April 1969.
• Corporate Authors:

  Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

  3 Park Avenue, 17th Floor
  New York, NY  United States  10016-5997
• Authors:
  • CETRON, MARVIN J
  • Dick, Donald N
• Publication Date: 1969-11

Media Info

• Pagination: p. 161-172
• Serial:
  • IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management
  • Volume: EM16
  • Issue Number: 4
  • Publisher: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Management; Planning; Technological forecasting
• Old TRIS Terms: Management planning
• Subject Areas: Administration and Management; Marine Transportation; Planning and Forecasting;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00005630
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Nov 25 1973 12:00AM