Working Paper 66 - Demand Projections for Auslink Non-Urban Corridors: Methodology and Projections

A new approach to planning and funding Australia's land transport infrastructure is represented by the Australian Government's AusLink initiative. Under AusLink the Australian Government will fund projects that have the greatest contribution to Australia's long-term economic prosperity, irrespective of the transport mode. An integrated approach to planning will be involved, with three complementary levels of analysis: (i) strategic network assessment; (ii) corridor assessments and (iii) detailed project assessments. A critical input into these assessments are projections of future transport demand. In order to undertake more informed strategic network assessments, the Bureau of Transport and Regional Economics (BTRE) has developed two models for projecting future nonurban passenger and freight transport demand: OZPASS non-urban passenger travel forecasting model; and FreightSim inter-regional freight forecasting model. Outlined in this paper is the structure of these models and a demonstration of their application to projecting future passenger and freight movements across the non-urban sections of the AusLink National Network. Readers should note that the road traffic projections presented in this paper are based on passenger travel and freight movement data for 1999 and road traffic data for various years between 1993 and 1996. These data sets were the most up-to-date data available to the BTRE when the analysis was undertaken. It is the intention of the BTRE to update these projections, using more current passenger and freight movements data, more recent regional population estimates and, in cooperation with the States and Territories, more recent road traffic data, when this data becomes available.

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: Figures; Maps; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: 261p

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01352252
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 1877081892
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Sep 19 2011 2:12PM