AN ANALYSIS OF ONE-CAR ACCIDENTS
SUBSEQUENT TO A STUDY CONCERNING CAUSATION FACTORS IN ONE- CAR ACCIDENTS AN APPROACH HAS BEEN DEVELOPED WHICH PROPOSES A GENERAL MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION OF THE INTERRELATIONSHIP OF THE THREE MAJOR FACTORS INVOLVED IN EVERY ACCIDENT, NAMELY, THE DRIVER, THE HIGHWAY AND THE VEHICLE. THE METHODOLOGY OF DATA COLLECTION DEVELOPED AND UTILIZED IN THE PREVIOUS STUDY IS SUGGESTED AS A MEANS OF AMASSING SUFFICIENT DATA TO PERMIT THE CORRELATIONS NECESSARY TO EVALUATE THE CONSTANTS AND EXPRESS THE VARIABLES IN THE PROPOSED EQUATION. IF EXPERIMENTAL DATA VERIFY THE PROPOSED CONCEPT, A MEANS OF PREDICTING ACCIDENT PROBABILITY WOULD BE AT HAND. TESTING METHODS AND DEVICES COULD THEN BE DEVELOPED TO PREDICT ACCIDENT PROBABILITY FOR INDIVIDUAL DRIVERS. THE MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION WOULD ALSO BE VALUABLE FOR ESTIMATING THE POTENTIAL EFFECT OF HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENTS ON ACCIDENT PROBABILITY. A METHOD OF CLASSIFYING DRIVER CHARACTERISTICS, WHICH ARE FACTORS OF ACCIDENT CAUSATION, TO ENABLE AN INTELLIGENT ESTIMATE OF THE COST AND EFFECT OF CORRECTION PROGRAMS IS PROPOSED. THE ULTIMATE OBJECTIVE OF ANY COMPREHENSIVE RESEARCH IN HIGHWAY SAFETY SHOULD BE DIRECTED TOWARD DEVELOPING THE REQUISITE KNOWLEDGE TO ACCOMPLISH THE MAXIMUM EFFECT WITH THE FUNDS AVAILABLE FOR ANY RECOMMENDED CORRECTIVE PROGRAM. THE POTENTIAL OF A STUDY BASED ON THE CONCEPT AND METHODOLOGY PROPOSED HERE JUSTIFIES THE RECOMMENDATION THAT SUCH A PROJECT SHOULD BE INAUGURATED AND PURSUED TO THE ULTIMATE END. /AUTHOR/
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Supplemental Notes:
- No 208, pp 35-44, 4 FIG, 2 TAB, 7 REF Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
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Authors:
- Bletzacker, Richard W
- Brittenham, Thomas G
- Publication Date: 1959
Media Info
- Media Type: Digital/other
- Pagination: 10p
- Monograph Title: Traffic accident studies, 1958
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Serial:
- Highway Research Board Bulletin
- Issue Number: 208
- Publisher: Highway Research Board
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Constants; Correlation analysis; Costs; Data analysis; Drivers; Highway safety; Highways; Human characteristics; Improvements; Mathematical analysis; Methodology; Motor vehicles; Probability theory; Traffic crashes; Variables
- Uncontrolled Terms: Causes; Driver characteristics; Motor vehicle accidents
- Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Finance; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; Society;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00220295
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS, TRB
- Created Date: Apr 21 1994 12:00AM