Regional and National Socioeconomic Impact Assessment of the Messina Bridge Megaproject

This paper is structured into three main sections. Section one introduces the reader to the main characteristics of the applied methodology. The methodology is based on System Dynamics and it uses the ASTRA model as a rudiment. ASTRA is described shortly in the second section with its main characteristics. The focus of this paper is placed on the development of a regional socio-economic module for forecasting the impacts of the Messina Bridge. Before concluding the development of this module and the integration of impacts of the bridge will be explained in detail in section three. An actual application is not included in the paper because the comprehensive inputs, which are necessary for a trustful calculation, could not be received from the Italian Ministries. Most data are restricted, especially when it comes to very detailed information about the prestige project Messina Bridge. Therefore, the authors decided to focus on the methodology which is explained in detail in the paper instead of using general assumptions as inputs which would not have given realistic results.

• Corporate Authors:

  World Conference on Transport Research Society

  Secretariat, 14 Avenue Berthelot
  69363 Lyon cedex 07,   France 
• Authors:
  • Krail, Michael
  • Scholz, Aaron B
• Conference:
  • 11th World Conference on Transport Research
  • Location: Berkeley CA, United States
  • Date: 2007-6-24 to 2007-6-28
• Publication Date: 2007

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References;
• Pagination: 15p
• Monograph Title: 11th World Conference on Transport Research

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Bridges; Economic development; Forecasting; Impacts; Information systems; Methodology; Socioeconomic factors
• Identifier Terms: Strait of Messina Bridge
• Geographic Terms: Messina (Italy)
• Subject Areas: Bridges and other structures; Economics; Highways; I15: Environment; I24: Design of Bridges and Retaining Walls;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01122221
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Feb 19 2009 2:43PM