Getting the Future We Want

This article describes how a streamlined way of visualizing future land-use patterns was used in Florida so that citizens, elected officials and planners could compare and contrast alternative futures. Model building software was used to produce scenarios for two Florida regions: the southwest coast and the greater Orlando area. The tool used in both these projects was called the Land Use Conflict Identification Strategy (LUCIS). Two LUCIS applications have been developed: one which compares suitability for lands not currently in urban use and the second compares suitability within existing urban areas. The results from LUCIS were then fed into a seven-step process that results in a spatial representation of alternative patterns for future land use. For the southwest Florida project, ten alternative futures for the target year 2060 were developed, including a trend scenario, a conservation scenario and a composite scenario that emphasizes a mass transit system. For Orlando, three alternative futures for the target year 2050 were developed that also included the same 3 scenarios as the southwest Florida project. In each case, the trend scenario predicts the greatest loss of rural lands to new urban development and the transit-composite scenario predicts the least.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/1762461
• Authors:
  • Zwick, Paul
  • Carr, Margaret
• Publication Date: 2007-10

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; Photos;
• Pagination: pp 24-27
• Serial:
  • Planning
  • Volume: 73
  • Issue Number: 9
  • Publisher: American Planning Association
  • ISSN: 0001-2610
  • Serial URL: http://www.planning.org

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Alternatives analysis; Case studies; City planning; Conservation; Forecasting; Land use; Land use models; Land use planning; Software; Strategic planning; Transit oriented development; Trend (Statistics); Urban areas
• Geographic Terms: Florida
• Subject Areas: Environment; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01079554
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Oct 22 2007 10:15AM